South Thompson snow basin is at 107 per cent of normal as of May 1 (Image Credit: CFJC Today)
COOL SPRING

Colder spring could foreshadow significant flooding in Thompson: Environment Canada

May 19, 2022 | 3:22 PM

KAMLOOPS — Environment Canada says the cooler temperatures — as much as 10 degrees below seasonal normals in Kamloops — have delayed some of the snow melt in higher elevations.

“Increase in overall snow at-elevation in percentages says a lot about how the spring has progressed. So usually we’ll usually see the peak [of snowmelt] on April 1 and then things start to crest and start to drop,” said Environment Canada meteorologist Armel Castellan. “For the mid-elevations that might be true because it is warm enough for overnight temperatures to be above zero, but at elevation we’ve seen additional snow if anything.”

It means there is still a significant snowpack waiting to be melted and flow into the Thompson Rivers. As of May 1, the snowpack impacting the North Thompson was at 128 per cent of normal — the highest at this time of year since 1999 — a significant flood season. The South Thompson was at 107 per cent.

Environment Canada says there is more snow accumulating than melting, adding to flood concerns. The Coquihalla Highway received 10 centimetres on Wednesday.

Castellan says if the weather in Kamloops shifts suddenly to heat, it could be disastrous.

“We know what the conditions are that will create the worst-case scenario. Again, it’s a sudden shift from these colder seasonal values to much warmer. So far, we’re not seeing that,” said Castellan. “They would need to be more than just a couple days, maybe four or five days in length in order to really build up that heat, and of course the wildcard is having precipitation events or rain events that, on that melting snow, add yet quite quicker melting and additional rain. That would spell the kinds of conditions needed for someone to have a very bad day somewhere in the Interior.”