VANCOUVER — An architecture professor at the University of British Columbia says about a quarter of detached homes in Vancouver could be torn down in just over a decade.
Joseph Dahmen has created a tool that forecasts how many homes could be demolished in the city by 2030 — victims of the recent surge in property values.
Dahmen’s tool estimates what he calls relative building value, which is how much a home is worth relative to the value of the land it sits on.
His research finds older homes have lower values when compared with land prices, and a falling relative home value means it stands a greater chance of being razed and replaced.
Given the recent, rapid rise of Vancouver real estate values, half the single-family homes in the city already have relative values below 7.5 per cent, which Dahmen and fellow number crunchers say creates a more than 50/50 chance the house will face the wrecking ball.
They say that by 2030, if relatives values continue to plummet, 25 per cent of all single-family homes could be replaced with houses that maximize size.
“It’s not clear how that will help affordability,” says fellow researcher and mathematician Jens von Bergmann in a release.
“We should ask ourselves how to replace these teardowns with more units of ground-oriented, family-friendly homes on each lot.”
Dahmen and von Bergmann developed the teardown predictor tool using municipal data and B.C. Assessment records on detached homes bought and sold in Vancouver between 2005 and 2015.
A news release from the University of British Columbia says the two compared land value, building value and lot size with variables such as whether the property had been torn down a couple of years before or after the sale.
The Canadian Press
Hot weather prompts warning for those with heat issues
KAMLOOPS — Heat warnings through much of the Interior for the next couple of days have health...
READ MORE +
ASK Wellness says affordable housing can't come soon enough after recent homeless count
KAMLOOPS — Social agencies in Kamloops says the dramatic increase in the number of homeless people...
READ MORE +
Suman Virk, mother of slain teen Reena Virk, dies at 58 years old
VICTORIA — The mother of slain Victoria-area teen Reena Virk, whose death more than two decades ago...
READ MORE +